Probability's Price

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Probability's Price

Urbanlast updateLast Updated : 2026-09-17

By:  Harin HRUpdated just now

Language: English
16

Chapters: 6 views: 2

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Nicolás Ferrer can bend probability, turning a slim 10% chance into a near-certain 90%. Initially, he used this incredible gift for trivial gains—aced exams, game wins, finding cash, even orchestrating "chance" encounters with his crush, Putri Maharani. But every twist of fate comes with a hidden cost: for every stroke of luck Nicolás conjures, an equal and opposite wave of misfortune befalls someone else. When a desperate act to save Putri from a tragic accident forces a 99% survival rate, Nicolás is oblivious to the profound imbalance he has wrought, setting off a chain reaction of devastating bad luck that now threatens to consume everything he holds dear.

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Chapter 1

1 - The Mundane Miracle

Chapter 1: The Mundane Miracle

The relentless screech of his alarm clock clawed at Nicolás Ferrer’s eardrums, ripping him from the fleeting peace of sleep. He slammed a fist onto the snooze button, missing by a good three inches and instead thudding against the nightstand.

“Ugh, seriously?” he groaned, his voice a gravelly rumble of complaint. “Another Monday? This is just… cruel. Absolutely, unapologetically cruel.” He squinted at the digital display, which mockingly glowed 7:00 AM. “Seven o’clock. The hour of existential dread. Who even invented mornings, anyway? Probably some ancient sadist who hated joy.”

He flopped back onto his pillow, staring at the ceiling, which had a faint water stain shaped vaguely like a startled platypus. “You know, platypus,” he mumbled, addressing the stain, “I had this dream. It was amazing. I was flying. Like, actually flying. Not that fake-running-and-flapping-your-arms-until-you-wake-up flying. Real, effortless soaring. And then this.” He gestured vaguely around his cramped dorm room. “This absolute triumph of beige and despair. What a downgrade.”

With a sigh that felt like it carried the weight of the entire universe’s Monday morning misery, Nicolás dragged himself upright. He fumbled for his phone, already dreading the barrage of notifications.

“Right, schedule check,” he muttered, swiping open his screen. “Microeconomics lecture at 8:30. That’s thrilling. Then some mandatory club meeting I forgot I signed up for. Followed by a lab that’s probably going to explode in my face.” He snorted. “My life is just one long, glorious chain of impending minor catastrophes. A highlight reel of disappointment. Who needs a dramatic hero’s journey when you can have… this?”

He stumbled towards his dresser, pulling out a wrinkled t-shirt. “Honestly, I need a break. A win. Just one tiny, insignificant victory. Is that too much to ask? The universe really has it in for me, I swear. Lost my ID last week, spilled coffee on my only clean shirt yesterday, and don’t even get me started on that pop quiz I definitely failed.” He tugged the shirt over his head. “I’m pretty sure I’m cursed. Like, actual, legitimate, ancient-gypsy-curse cursed.”

He splashed some cold water on his face. “Okay, okay, calm down, Nicolás. It’s just a Monday. Millions of people get through Mondays. You can too. Just gotta… survive.” He peered at his reflection. “Look at that face. The face of a man who missed his calling as a professional napper. Or perhaps a professional lottery winner. Not, you know, a professional student of advanced fiscal misery.”

Grabbing his backpack, he headed for the door, still grumbling. “Right, bus. Don’t miss the bus. Missing the bus is the cardinal sin of the impecunious college student. It’s like, rule number one.”

He practically jogged down the three flights of stairs, the heavy thud of his sneakers echoing in the deserted stairwell. Bursting out of the dorm, he saw it – the tail end of the campus shuttle, a giant white whale with wheels, pulling away from the curb.

“NO! Are you kidding me?!” he yelled, throwing his hands up in a theatrical display of despair. “You just had to be early today, didn’t you, you lumbering metal beast? The one day! The one day I’m vaguely on time, and you pull this stunt!” He stomped his foot, feeling the vibrations travel up his leg. “This is ridiculous! It’s like the universe is actively mocking me! It’s saying, ‘Oh, you think you’re going to get to class on time, Nicolás? Think again, sucker!’”

He watched the bus disappear around the bend. “Fantastic. Just fantastic. Now I’m late. Probably going to have to walk, which means I’ll be sweaty and dishevelled, which means Professor Davies will give me that look. You know, the one that says, ‘Are you even trying, son?’ Oh, Professor Davies, I am trying! I’m just perpetually sabotaged by cosmic forces beyond my control!”

He slumped onto a nearby bench, burying his face in his hands. “I just… I just need a win. A small miracle. A tiny little cosmic high-five, just to let me know someone up there isn’t actively rooting for my downfall. Please. Anything.” He sighed again, a long, drawn-out sound of utter defeat. “Just… anything to break this stupid, mundane, predictable streak of bad luck.”

As the words left his lips, a peculiar sensation rippled through him. It wasn’t a sound, or a sight, but a sudden, almost imperceptible tug. Like an invisible thread had just snagged his consciousness, pulling gently towards the overgrown bushes at the edge of the campus quad. It was odd, like a physical manifestation of an insistent thought.

“Huh?” he mumbled, lifting his head. “What was that? Did I just… feel something? Like a tiny psychic nudge? Or maybe I’m just sleep-deprived and going crazy. Probably the latter. Definitely the latter.”

He eyed the bushes suspiciously. “Don’t be ridiculous, Nicolás. Bushes don’t ‘tug’. That’s not a thing.” But the feeling persisted, a faint hum beneath his skin, drawing him. It was ridiculous, utterly illogical, but something deep inside him, a primitive instinct he didn’t know he possessed, urged him forward.

“Alright, fine, universe,” he muttered, pushing himself off the bench. “You want me to check out the evil bush? Happy to oblige. Probably just a lost squirrel or something. Or maybe a rogue frisbee. Knowing my luck, it’s a wasp nest just waiting to unleash hell.”

He walked towards the bushes, the strange pull growing stronger, more defined. It was like walking into an invisible current. He parted the dense leaves, peering into the shadows. And there, nestled among the fallen leaves and discarded candy wrappers, glinting faintly in the dappled sunlight, was a wallet. A thick, leather wallet, clearly full.

“Whoa,” he whispered, bending down to pick it up. He flipped it open. ID, credit cards, a stack of cash. “Holy moly. This is… someone’s entire life. What in the actual world?” He looked around, heart thrumming a little faster. “Did I just… find a lost wallet? Right after wishing for a miracle? That’s… a bit on the nose, isn’t it?”

He shook his head, a disbelieving laugh escaping his lips. “Okay, coincidence. Definitely a coincidence. Happens all the time. People lose stuff, people find stuff. That’s just… life.” He pocketed the wallet, intending to take it to lost and found. “Still, good deed done. Maybe that’ll balance out the cosmic scales for today. Or at least get Professor Davies to lay off the ‘disappointment’ stare.”

With the bus long gone, Nicolás decided to drive his beat-up sedan, ‘The Rustbucket,’ to campus. He started the engine, a wheezing cough followed by a shaky roar.

“Alright, Rustbucket, don’t fail me now,” he said, patting the dashboard. “We need a parking spot. A good one. Close. Not, like, three miles away, necessitating another trek through the wilderness.”

He pulled out of the dorm parking lot, heading for the main campus garage, already picturing the usual chaotic battle for spaces. Every level, every row, usually packed tighter than a sardine can.

“Please, just one spot,” he pleaded, driving slowly up the ramp. “Just one tiny, empty rectangle of asphalt. That’s all I’m asking. Nothing fancy. Just… available.” He squinted, scanning the rows ahead. Nothing. Not a single glimmer of hope. “See? This is my life. Perpetual struggle. Why can’t things just be easy, you know? Just once?”

He reached the top floor, resigned to circling endlessly or parking illegally. He turned the corner, bracing himself for the usual disappointment.

And then, it happened.

Right in front of him, a battered minivan, which had clearly been in the process of leaving, blinked its reverse lights, backed out of a prime spot, and drove off. The space was perfectly empty. Perfectly positioned.

Nicolás slammed on the brakes, nearly rear-ending the car in front of him. “WHAT?!” he shrieked, his jaw practically hitting the steering wheel. “No way! No. Absolutely no way!” He stared at the empty spot, then at the receding minivan, then back at the spot. “Did that just… open up? Just for me? Like, exactly when I needed it?”

He quickly pulled into the spot, his hands trembling slightly as he cut the engine. “Okay, this is getting genuinely weird now,” he muttered, running a hand through his already messy hair. “First the wallet, which, alright, I could brush off. But then this? A perfect, empty parking spot, materializing out of thin air, mere seconds after I wished for it?”

He leaned back in his seat, the strange sensation of the invisible tug returning, a faint, insistent thrum in the back of his mind. “It’s too much of a coincidence, isn’t it? Two ‘miracles’ in one morning? After a lifetime of chronic bad luck? No. That’s not how probability works. Not in my universe, anyway.”

A grin, slow and uncertain, started to spread across his face. “Unless…” He shook his head. “No. Don’t be stupid, Nicolás. Don’t be ridiculous.” But the thought, once planted, refused to be uprooted. What if it wasn’t coincidence? What if… I did that?

He needed a test. Something small, undeniable, and utterly improbable. Something that couldn't possibly be a coincidence.

He glanced at the radio, still humming softly in the background. An old, worn-out classic rock station he sometimes listened to. He rarely paid attention to the songs, just let the noise fill the silence.

“Alright, fine,” he said, his voice dropping to a conspiratorial whisper, as if the Rustbucket itself were listening. “Let’s just… let’s try something completely insane. Something utterly, ridiculously, statistically impossible.” He closed his eyes, concentrating, trying to find that faint, internal tug again. It was there, a thread, a faint resonance.

“I want to hear… ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’,” he declared, opening his eyes and staring intently at the radio. “Yeah. ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ by Queen. Right now. On this station. With no commercial breaks or anything. Just… start playing it.”

He knew it was a long shot. The song was a classic, sure, but it wasn't exactly a daily staple on every rotation. And for it to play right now, precisely when he asked? It was absurd.

The generic pop rock tune currently playing faded out, replaced by a momentary static hiss. Nicolás held his breath.

Then, the iconic, a capella opening harmonies of Queen’s masterpiece filled the car.

“Is this the real life? Is this just fantasy?”

Nicolás froze. His mouth fell open. His eyes were wide, unblinking, fixed on the radio display as the lyrics scrolled past. It wasn't just a Queen song. It wasn't just a classic rock song. It was the song. The exact, specific, highly improbable song he had just wished for.

He slowly, carefully, reached out a hand, touching the radio as if it were a fragile, alien artifact. “Holy… actual… crap,” he whispered, the words barely audible. The internal hum in his mind wasn’t faint anymore; it was a roaring symphony of impossible potential.

He stared at the radio, a growing sense of wonder and raw trepidation filling him, pushing down on his chest. His mundane, predictable life, a life of missed buses and bad luck, had just become anything but ordinary. It was extraordinary. Terrifyingly, exhilaratingly extraordinary.

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